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0.6
0.4
0.2
0
−0.2
−0.4
−0.6
1850
1900
1950
2000
Fig. 5.12 Constant, linear and quadratic approximations of global annual mean temperature
deviation measurements (relative to the 1961-1990 mean); from 1856 to 2000
0
1
0
1
0
1
145 10585 1026745 10 6
10585 1026745 10 6 1:12042 10 8
1026745 10 6 1:12042 10 8 1:30415 10 10
˛
ˇ
21:82
502:43
19649:8
@
A
@
A D
@
A :
(5.70)
The solution of this system is given by
ˇ 1:8404 10 3 ;
4:2005 10 5 ;
˛ 0:3136;
and
so the quadratic model is given by
p 2 .t / 0:3136 1:8404 10 3 t C 4:2005 10 5 t 2 :
(5.71)
In Fig. 5.12 we have plotted the data points, the constant approximation p 0 .t /,the
linear approximation p 1 .t / and the quadratic approximation p 2 .t /.
5.2
Application to Population Models
In Chaps. 2 and 3 above, we studied various population models. For instance, we
suggested that the growth of populations in environments with unlimited resources
can be modeled by the ordinary differential equation
 
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