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that value, leading him to conclude 'that higher estimates derived from climate models are
incorrect because they disagree with empirical estimates.'
Figure2graphicallysummarisesthevariousresultsinthesepapers,aswellasthemean
value and range of the family of climate models used in the 2014 IPCC report. It also
summarises the 'likely' range of warming given in that report. See our figure caption for
details.
Andrew Revkin, who follows global warming science for The New York Times ,
published that influential newspaper's first article on the emerging evidence for a lower
climate sensitivity in 2013. 28 In it, he noted there was one study, ten years earlier, that
alsoprojectedwarmingthatisconsistentwiththerecentlower-sensitivityresults.However,
Revkin chose not to specifically identify the authors, saying instead:
I can understand why some climate campaigners, writers and scientists don't want to focus on any science hinting there
might be a bit more time to make this profound energy transition. (There's also reluctance, I'm sure, because recent work
is trending toward the published low sensitivity findings from a decade ago from climate scientists best known for their
relationships with libertarian groups.)
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