The scientific method (and other heresies) - Climate Change: The Facts - page 188

Figure 3: Monthly net surface energy balance and global temperature anomalies
Source: HadCRUT4
Perhaps the greatest problem with this recent result is that in many ways it is not recent
at all—the climate community has known about this mode of climate variability since the
late 1990s. Since 2000, I myself (amongst others) have published extensively on the IPO/
PDO and its strong links to multi-decadal flood and drought risk in Australia (i.e. 'the
rainfall we had in the 1950s, 1960s and 1970s'). The papers also noted its link to variable
periods of global warming and cooling, pointing out that the climate models could not
simulate it and that perhaps we could expect a return to a cooling period at some point in
the near future. 17 Little did we know that in 2000 it had already begun.
This is the kind of science I prefer. One which develops an insight and makes a
prediction which can be evaluated in terms of what subsequently occurs. The majority of
climate scientists, blindly relying on climate models, fail in their predictions. They adapt