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(Zecca and Zulberti 2006 ). Rather, we are likely to rely more on 'unconventional' oil in
Canada, Venezuela and Russia, which will become more profitable to extract as oil prices
rise.
The third unpredictable factor affecting oil production is, of course, demand. Demand
in the most industrialised countries has probably already peaked (BP 2011 ) , but this has
been more than offset by growing demand from rapidly growing economies such as China,
India and Brazil. Demand for oil is far from equally distributed throughout the world.
The wealthier industrialised countries are still the biggest consumers of oil, but several
'developing' countries are hot on their heels.
The distribution of the world's oil reserves is even more uneven. Fifty per cent of the
world's known reserves are located in just five countries clustered around the Persian Gulf.
Another25percentarelocatedinfiveothercountries(see Figure3.7 ) .Thisfactor,asmuch
as impending oil scarcity, has fed the desire in many countries to reduce dependence on oil
and to find alternative sources of energy.
Figure 3.7. Proven reserves of oil. Canadian and Venezuelan tar sands are not taken into
account (for comparison, see Table 3.11 ). Source: BP ( 2012 ).
Figure 3.8. Oil consumption by region. Source: BP ( 2012 ).
Table 3.11.
Proven global reserves of fossil fuels and uranium
Coal
(billion
tons)
%
Global
Oil
(billion
barrels)
Conventional
Total
%
Global
United
States
237 28
Saudi
Arabia
265
265
16
Russian
Federation
157 18
Venezuela
77
297
18
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