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Plate 2. Time series of September ice extent from the (a-h) eight IPCC-AR4 CCSM3 ensemble members. The blue line
shows the 5-year running mean time series. The observed time series from 1979 to 2007 is shown in red. Grey shading
indicates abrupt events as defined in the text.
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Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications
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