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applied to raw data and the correlation coefficient is in the interval
1
r n
1for
every n .
We want to construct a simple analytic form for ( 3.204 ) that captures any long-time
correlation pattern in the data. One way to determine the correlations in the time series,
aside from the brute-force method of directly evaluating ( 3.204 ) is by aggregating the
data into groups of increasing size. In this way the scaling behavior changes as a func-
tion of the number of data points we aggregate and it is this dependence we seek to
exploit. Segment the sequence of data points into adjacent groups of n elements each so
that the n nearest neighbors of the j th data point aggregate to form
Q ( n )
j
=
Q nj +
Q nj 1 +···+
Q nj n 1 .
(3.205)
The average over the aggregated sets yields
n
1
n
Q ( n )
j
Q ( n ) =
=
nQ
.
(3.206)
j
=
1
We have used the fact that the sum yields N Q and the brackets n denote the closest
integer determined by N
n . The ratio of the standard deviation to the mean value is
denoted as the relative dispersion and is given by [ 4 ]
/
Va r Q ( n )
Q ( n )
Va r Q ( n )
nQ .
R ( n ) =
=
(3.207)
If the time series scales the relative dispersion satisfies the relation
R ( n ) =
n H 1 R ( 1 ) ,
(3.208)
which results from the standard deviation scaling as n H and the mean increasing linearly
with lag time. The variance of the coarse-grained data set is determined in analogy to
the nearest-neighbor averaging to be
n
Q ( n )
j
2
1
n
Q ( n )
j
Va r Q ( n ) =
j
=
1
n
1
=
n Va r Q
+
2
1 (
n
j
)
Cov n Q
.
(3.209)
j
=
Substituting ( 3.208 ) for the relative dispersion into ( 3.209 ) allows us, after a little
algebra, to write
j = 1 (
n
1
n 2 H 1
=
n
+
2
n
j
)
r n .
(3.210)
Equation ( 3.210 ) provides a recursion relation for the correlation coefficients from
which we construct the hierarchy of relations
 
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