Ambitions towards sustainable mobility (London) - Transport Climate Change and the City - page 110

Table 3.3 CO2 projections and targets for London, excluding aviation (MtCO2)

Scenario 1990 2006 2025 2050

(per capita) (per capita) (per capita)

BAU projection (cross sectoral) 45.1 44.3 (5.9) 51.0 (6.2) -

BAU projection (ground transport) 9.9 9.6 (1.3) 11.7 (1.4) -

CCAP target (cross sectoral) - - 18.0 (2.2) -

60% reduction by 2025 on a 1990 baseline
VIBAT London target (ground transport) - - 4.0 (0.5) -

60% reduction by 2025 on a 1990 baseline
80% reduction by 2050 on a 1990 baseline - - - 2.0 (0.2)

14

12

10

8

BAU
Linear Target
Fast Track
Slow Track

6

4

2

0

Figure 3.21 Transport CO2 emission budgets (London)

Though London is progressive in relative terms to other cities, any serious consideration
of the targets and likely achievement provides serious concerns. The striking feature of the
target and budgetary analysis is the huge gap between BAU projections and the emissions'
reduction aspirations. Achieving this scale of change will prove to be very difficult. It will
involve a fundamental and new rethinking, including the range and scale of available policy
interventions, the levels of application and funding, and a much deeper understanding of travel
requirements and possibilities for low carbon travel at both the individual and societal levels.

Available policy interventions and packages
An advantage is that we have been thinking about the possible components of sustainable
transport for many years. A wide range of policy measures are available to help reduce