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c ( k )=( c a 1 ( k ) ,
···
,c a j ( k ) ,
···
,c a n ( k )) ,where c a j ( k ) is the conviction of agent
a j w.r.t alternative
1 at time k .
Their respective computations will be provided in the next section.
The conviction of an agent concerning a given alternative is correlated with the prob-
ability that this particular agent chooses this alternative, i.e. the probability of his incli-
nation as defined in [3].
Let i
I be an inclination vector. Each coordinate i a j
is the preference of agent a j
and constitutes one of the two alternatives.
Definition 7. Let i ∈ I be an inclination vector. The conviction vector of i at time k
is c ( i,k )=( c a 1 ( k ) ,···, c a n ( k )) , where for any j , c a j ( k ) is c a j ( k ) if i a j =1 and is
c a j ( k ) if i a j = 1 .
I be an inclination vector and let's define c i ( k )
Let i
[0 , 1] as an average conviction
at time k for i . This value summarizes the distributions of agents' convictions in i at
time k . c i ( k ) is an ”aggregated conviction” of the group of agents for i . This aggrega-
tion should take into account the relative importance of agents and their interactions.
Consequently, it seems only natural to state the following definition.
Definition 8. Let i
I be an inclination vector and v [ k ] be a capacity defined at time k
on 2 {a 1 ,···,a n } ,then c i ( k +1)= C v [ k ] ( c a 1 ( k ) ,
···
, c a n ( k )) ,where C v [ k ] is the Choquet
integral with respect to v [ k ] .
The time-varying probability is built by recurrence on k . We start at time k =0 and
will proceed by presenting how to compute p [ k +1] using p [ k ] .
At time k =0 :
Each agent assigns a score to each alternative in the interval [0 , 1] . For each agent,
if we were to denote n +1 (resp. n 1 ) as the score of +1 (resp.
1 ), then the
n +1
n +1 + n 1
n 1
n +1 + n 1
and c a j (0) =
convictions could be computed by c a j (0) =
.We
then have c a j (0) + c a j (0) = 1 . Initially, at time k =0 ,if i a j is the preference
of a j then the probabilities of the agent a j regarding his preference and the other
alternative would be: p a j ( i a j )[ k =0]= c a j (0) and p a j (
c a j (0) .
We assume that before the debate starts, the inclination of each agent does not
depend on the social network. The probability distribution associated with a priori
probabilities is thus the product of the individual probabilities p a j
i a j )[ k =0]=1
at k =0 , leading
to the following probability:
n
i
I,p ( i )[0] =
p a j ( i a j )[0] .
j =1
It is thus possible to compute the following
- the decisional power for any agent a j at k =0 : φ a j ( B,gd,p [0]) ;
- the capacity v φ [0] over 2 {a 1 ,···,a n } ,for k =0 , as proposed in Subsection 3.1:
v φ [0]( a j )= 2 φ a j ( B,gd,p [0])+ 2 , and the capacity on a set A is the maximum
of the capacity of agents present in the considered coalition.
 
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