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increasing SAT, which disagrees with the data of observations. This situation
re
ects the prospects for comparison of assessment of the role of cloud feedbacks
from the data of numerical modeling and observations from the viewpoint of
models validation.
Lomborg (2001, 2004) is of course right rejecting apocalyptic predictions of
global ecodynamics based on exaggerated fear of limited natural resources and the
environmental state. Such opinions and assessments are con
fl
rmed, in particular, by
the data of Holdren (2003), which characterize both real and potential global energy
resources. The energy units are expressed here (in case of non-renewable energy
sources) in TW-year, which is equivalent
to 31 exa-J
ð
1 TW ¼
1 TW-year
year
1
Þ
. It should be added that in 2000 the global energy
consumption constituted about 15 TW or 15 TW-year
year
1
with an assumed
increase up to 60 TW-year
year
1
by 2100.
Despite the optimistic data by Holdren (2003), the absence of long-range
prospects for development of the present consumption society illustrated by global
ecodynamics estimates (Krapivin and Varotsos 2007, 2008) raises no doubts.
Therefore at the World Summit on Sustainable Development held in Johannesburg
in 2002, a necessity has been emphasized of accomplishing 10-year programmes in
order to achieve stable production and consumption, which included the following
recommendations (Starke 2004):
¼
31
:
5 exa-J
year
1
developed countries should undertake the leading role in provision of stable
production and consumption;
these goals should be achieved on the basis of common but differentiated
responsibility;
the problem of stable production and consumption should play the key role;
the young generation must take part in the solution of the problem of sustainable
development;
the
“
polluter pays
”
principle should be practiced;
control of the complete cycle of products evolution from their production to
consumption as well as waste in order to raise the production ef
ciency;
support should be given to politics that favors the output of ecologically
acceptable products and rendering of ecologically adequate services;
to develop more ecological and effective methods of energy provision and
liquidate energy subsidies;
to support free-will initiatives of industry aimed at raising its social and eco-
logical responsibility; and
to study and introduce an experience of ecologically pure productions, espe-
cially in developing countries as well as in small- and medium-scale business.
Though the enumerated recommendations are rather declarative, they still clearly
point to the necessity to change the paradigm of the socio-economic development
(primarily in developed countries) from the consumption society to priorities of
public and spiritual values. A concrete analysis of the ways of such development
requires a participation of specialists in the
field of social sciences. Some related
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