Ecoinformatics Problems of Global Climate Change - New Ecoinformatics Tools in Environmental Science: Applications and Decision-making - page 444

Fig. 5.18 Forecasts of rates for average annual increase of the energy supply made by IEA, PEL
and PIRA (IEA 2005a, b, 2013c)

550 ppm in the end of 21 century (Fig. 5.18 ). In some degree, this will be connected
with the priorities redistribution between sectors of the economics. It is expected
that signi cantly increase the role of transport loads on the environment. If in 1990

the transport part was equaled to 20 % of consumed energy, but to 2005 this level
approach to 40 %. But at the same time, the progress in the industry will bring to the
reduction of consumed energy from 38 % in 1990 to 17 % in 2095. It is expected
that role of such sectors of the economics, as electric power production and building
is signi cantly not changed. The forecasts given in Fig. 5.18 and realized by

different experts, characterize the presence of high uncertainty in the initial data of
biogeochemical block of GMNSS. From this, it is seen that synthesize of global
model for economic development has special attention for the models of biogeo-
chemical cycles and for the assessment of their role in the formation of the envi-
ronment state.