Geoscience Reference
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Development of present energetics and its nearest future is closely connected
with the use of natural gas, oil and coal. The processing of these fossils in the
industry and other sectors of economics leads inevitably to the emission of many
other gases to the atmosphere with more high potential of the atmosphere heating
(Fig. 5.17 ). Prognosis of the energetics development in the future depends on the
reliable parameterization of socio-economic processes in the GMNSS. According to
EIA (2005),world has several clusters that differ by their economic development:
Countries with developed market economics covering 15 % of the world pop-
ulation. It is countries of North America, West Europe, Australia and New
Zealand.
￿
Countries with transition economics having 6 % of world population and
including East Europe and countries of Former Soviet Union.
￿
Countries with developing economics (78 % of world population):
￿
Fig. 5.17 Regional distribution of non-CO 2 greenhouse gases emission in the developed countries
with the prognosis to 2010 (EPA 2001, 2005, 2006)
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