Information Technology Reference
In-Depth Information
table 14.3
F
uture Vision of iA
FVF
Description
IA Future
Drivers
Influences and
motivations to action
Global economy; virtual assets and
enterprise wealth (e.g., intellectual
property, knowledge); new
technologies in support of business
demands introduce new risks (e.g.,
Web services). Legislative and
regulatory complexities to protect
information and information
technology. Emerging technologies
(e.g., Web services).
Extension
Looking forward from
the present
The $100 laptop (http://laptop.media.
mit.edu/); E-commerce
Extrapolation
Looking forward from
the past
Internet, relatively unknown to
pervasive inside 20 years;
implications of this medium in
education, world politics, global
economy
Pendulum
What is old is new again
Build versus buy; in-house versus
outsource
Patterns
Discernable coherence
from an aggregation of
discrete actions
Patterns in a threat space that
includes solitary hackers, non-state-
sponsored adversaries, and state-
sponsored adversaries. A pattern of
organizational loss produces
increases in cyber-legislation.
Connections
Butterfly effect and
pinball effect; the subtle
and sometimes frantic
results from seemingly
innocuous actions
Discerning connections, influences,
relationships, and implications via
systems thinking and modeling via
systems dynamics
Chaos
An attempt to bound and
explain the complexities
of random behavior
There is always a random factor; you
cannot predict it, you should not
ignore it, but you can expect it and
prepare a response.
