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r s
0,0001
0,0002
0,0005
0,001
0,002
0,005
0,01
0,02
0,05
0,02
1
0,018
0,9
0,016
0,8
0,014
0,7
0,012
0,6
0,01
0,5
0,4
0,008
0,006
0,3
0,004
0,2
0,002
0,1
0
0
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
m
23456789 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
m
Fig. 2. The effect of window length m on the false_alarm_rate (left) and detection_rate
(right)
r s
0,0001
0,0002
0,0005
0,001
0,002
0,005
0,01
0,02
0,05
400
0,012
350
0,01
300
0,008
250
200
0,006
150
0,004
100
0,002
50
0
0
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
m
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
m
Fig. 3. The effect of window length m on the size of resuzlting detectors set (left) and average
detection rate (right)
As it can be seen on the Fig. 1 , increasing the window length m results in a better
detection. A more accurate analysis requires checking the effect of m on DR and FAR
separately on Fig. 3 .
For a false_alarm_rate a well-defined minimum over the m=5 and 6 can be seen. It
seems then that to minimize the type 1 detection errors the window length
corresponding to the estimated minimal reconstruction dimension can be used.
The detection_rate clearly increases with m . The strange local maximum for the
dimension of 2 is probably due to the fact that the selected reconstruction delay
τ
=50
is valid only for this dimension. This is because only for m=2 the window lag
τ w =(m-
1)
is equal to the suggested value 50 . It can be also seen that the big values of r S have
negative effect o DR. It is caused by the effect of merging the neighbor trajectories in
τ
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