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Fig. 10.19 Fit of the
Gutenberg-Richter
distribution ( dashed line )
to the population of
earthquakes in the global
CMT catalog 1976-2009
( solid line ). The best-fitting
value of b is
1.22
recognize that such relation could be described
by a power-law:
are no earthquakes. Molnar ( 1979 ) has proved
that if M 0,max is the maximum observed seismic
moment, then the annual rate of scalar moment
release is given by:
log 10 N.M/ D a bM
(10.62)
'
where N ( M ) is the number of earthquakes with
magnitude greater than or equal to an assigned
value M in some time interval and region. An
example of modelling of the global seismicity by
this law is illustrated in Fig. 10.19 .
In expression ( 10.62 ), the parameter a depends
from the total number of events with magnitude
greater than or equal to zero, while b measures the
relative number of large earthquakes versus small
earthquakes. This parameter is referred to as the
b - value and varies between 0.8 and 1.2 for a
number of different regions. In seismically active
regions, it is close to the unity. A b -value of 1
implies that for each unitary magnitude increase,
there is a tenfold reduction in the number of
earthquakes.
An empirical relation similar to the Gutenberg-
Richter law holds for the seismic moment M 0 .In
this instance, the annual number of earthquakes
with seismic moment greater than or equal to
an assigned value M 0 in some tectonic region is
given by (Molnar 1979 ):
M 0 D
1 M 1“
(10.64)
0;max
As pointed out by Kagan ( 1991 ), there is
evidence that the “-value represents a universal
constant. At global scale, a statistical analysis of
the CMT catalog gives “ D 2/3. Although this
is also the value suggested by Molnar ( 1979 ),
theoretical arguments lead to the value “ D 0.5
for any specific tectonic region (Kagan 1991 ,
1993 , 2010 ). We shall see in the next chapter that
( 10.63 )and( 10.64 ) play a key role in the study of
the seismic deformation of the lithosphere.
Problems
1. An active fault has been mapped by geol-
ogists. After the last earthquake, they have
found that its length is 10 km, the strike
is ¥ D 30 ı N, the dip is • D 45 ı ,anaverage
10 cm downward dip-slip displacement of the
hanging wall occurred, while seismic reflec-
tion studies suggest that the fault reaches a
depth of 5 km. Estimate the moment tensor
components for this earthquake;
2. Prove the validity of expression ( 10.58 )forthe
moment tensor components;
N.M 0 / D 'M
(10.63)
0
where ' and “ are constants. This distribution
does not take into account the important obser-
vation that for any given tectonic region there is
a threshold seismic moment above which there
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