Environmental Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
FIGURE 9.16
Decreasing Marginal Returns to
Investment in Physical Mitigation
Risk
(in$)
At some point it may be more cost
effective to transfer the remaining
risk or to fi nd alternative ways to man-
age or to fi nance it than to attempt to
mitigate it completely.
Residual
risk
Remaining risk best reduced e.g. by insurance
Expenditure on Mitigation
(in $)
TABLE 9.13
Some Key Non-damage Attributes of Risk
Involuntary
Risks voluntarily assumed are ranked differently from those imposed by others
Uncontrollable
The inability to personally make a difference decreases a risk's acceptability
Immoral
Pollution is often viewed as a consuminate evil. And statements that hazards are `too low to
worry about' can engender suspicion
Unfamiliar
Generally speaking, more familiar risks are regarded as more acceptable
Dreadful
Risks that cause highly feared or dreaded consequences are viewed as more dangerous
Uncertain
Scientifi c uncertainty about the effect, severity, or prevalence of a hazard tends to escalate
unease
Catastrophic
Large-scale disasters such as aircraft crashes weigh more seriously in the public's mind than
individual events such as exposure to radon gas in a neighbour's basement
Memorable
Risks embedded in remarkable events have greater impact that risks that arise in less promi-
nent circumstances.
Unfair
Substantial outrage is a more likely result if people feel they are being wrongfully exposed
Untrustworthy
The level of outrage is higher if the source of the risk is not trusted.
Source:
Foundation for American Communications and National SEa Grand
College Program. Reporting on Risk: A Handbook for Journalists and
Citizens; The Annapolis Center, 1995. pp 84-86
fact that a tailings dam may fail within the next thousand years, than that the dam is designed
to last for one thousand years. Doctors, as another example, are much more likely to prescribe
a new medication that saves 50 percent of its patients than one that loses 50 percent of them.
On a i nal note the following rules-of-thumb should be considered when dealing with
uncertainty. (1) Make conservative conclusions (i.e. assume that an effect is more, rather
 
 
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