Geoscience Reference
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Figure 2.5 Monthly
Southern Oscillation Index
(SOI) values from January
1866 until September 2002,
smoothed with an 11-point
running average (except for
end points). ''El Ni˜o-like''
conditions are negative and
''La Ni˜a-like'' conditions are
positive.
25
15
5
-5
-15
-25
25
15
5
-5
-15
-25
25
15
5
-5
-15
-25
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Figure 2.6 Multi-taper
frequency-domain singular
value decomposition (MTM-
SVD) localised variance
spectrum (LFV) from a joint
analysis of HadCRUTv (OI)
and HadSLP (OI) from 1871
to 1998 (relative variance is
explained by the first
eigenvalue of the SVD as a
function of frequency) over
the domain 65 8 N-35 8 S.
The 50, 90 and 99%
statistical confidence limits
are shown as horizontal
lines, and various significant
climatic features in the
spectrum are pointed out on
the diagram.
PERIOD (YEARS)
16
8
4
2
0.9
ENSO 2.5-8 yr
QB 2-2.5 yr
0.8
64 yr
11.5 yr
0.7
16.8 yr
99%
0.6
95%
90%
0.5
50%
0.4
0
0.0625
0.125
0.1875
0.25
0.3125
0.375
0.4375
FREQUENCY (CYCLES/YEAR)
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