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Table 4.1 Initial operationalisation of tentative determinants to explore adaptive capacity across
the case areas
Governance determinants of adaptive capacity
Tentative Indicators
Sub-criteria
Knowledge
Right to Information; Communication/Public Perception;
Spatial Planning; Access to scientific/environmental
information; Exchange of data & information; Integration
of scientific expertise; Quality of Scientific Information;
Use of traditional & local knowledge
Networks
Access to participation; Selection of non-state actors; Level
of influence; Type of participation; Stage in the political
process; Social Networks; Professions Networks;
Willingness to Cooperate
Levels of decision making
Ecological based units of decision making; Institutional
arrangements
Integration
Geographical integration; Sectoral/Uses integration; Political
integration
Flexibility-predictability
Consistency in rule of the law; Rigidity of legal provisions;
Iterative elements of law/institutions
Resources
Financial resources; Quantity/quality of human resources;
Organisation of resources; Independence/impartiality of
experts
Experience
Training & development; Years of experience
Leadership
Political Commitment; Facilitating role; Initiation of
partnerships; Support mobilisation; Linking of actors;
Trust amongst stakeholders
were replaced by more open determinants to better complement the iterative
development of indicators within this research.
These governance and institutional related determinants are the platform from
which adaptive capacity may be explored across the case areas. These determinants
have been discussed as being important to the nature of adaptive capacity and to
affecting the outcome of adaptive actions. While climate change risks have been
well addressed in the academic literature, adaptation to climate change is often ini-
tially experienced through adjustments to variability and extremes (Tompkins and
Adger 2004 ), but adaptation rarely takes place purely in relation to climate change
alone (Parry et al. 2007 ). The potential inconsistency between using past extreme
events as a proxy, when simultaneously enforcing the notion that the past may no
longer be a prologue for the future, is fully recognised.
However, the focus on extremes specifically pinpoints situations that while
currently recognised as an outlier event, may in the future become situated
within the normal frame of management reference (e.g. 100-year floods recur-
ring three times within the space of a decade). In this case past adaptations to
climatic or hydrological stresses are likely to provide some useful insight into
incremental step changes in the future hydro-climatic reality that are to be
expected over the next 10-20 years. If in the coming decades (20-50 years)
massive shocks do occur, where certain tipping points are crossed in the
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