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s 1 )]
:ab 2 [ up ( s 2 ) broken ]
in conjunction with these three steady ones:
:ab 1 [
(
light
up
broken
_
malfunc 1 _
wiring-problem
:
light
ab 1
broken _ malfunc 1 _ wiring-problem
ab 2
malfunc 2 _
wiring-problem
Let the underlying influence information be
I = f (
up
(
s 1 ) ;
light
) ; (
broken
;
light
) ; (
malfunc 1 ;
light
) ;
(
;
) ; (
(
s 2 ) ;
) ; (
malfunc 2 ;
) ;
wiring-problem
light
up
broken
broken
(
;
) ; (
; ab 1 ) ; (
malfunc 1 ; ab 1 ) ;
wiring-problem
broken
broken
(
; ab 1 ) ; (
malfunc 2 ; ab 2 ) ; (
; ab 2 ) g
wiring-problem
wiring-problem
This determines the following causal relationships, all of which except for the
rst three are steady:
(
s 1 )
causes
if
:ab 1
up
light
: up ( s 1 )
causes
: light
if
:ab 1
up
(
s 2 )
causes
broken
if
:ab 2
causes
: light
if
>
broken
causes
:
if
>
malfunc 1
light
causes
: light
if
>
wiring-problem
causes ab 1
if
>
broken
causes ab 1
if
>
malfunc 1
causes ab 1
if
>
wiring-problem
:
causes
:ab 1
if
:
malfunc 1 ^:
broken
wiring-problem
: malfunc 1
causes
:ab 1
if
: broken ^: wiring-problem
:
causes
:ab 1
if
:
^:
wiring-problem
broken
malfunc 1
causes ab 2
if
>
malfunc 2
wiring-problem
causes ab 2
if
>
: malfunc 2
causes
:ab 2
if
: wiring-problem
:
wiring-problem
causes
:ab 2
if
:
malfunc 2
Consider, now, a situation where we only know that both switches are open
(as depicted in Fig. 4.1). What would be the predicted outcome of rst tog-
gling s 2 , followed by s 1 ? Since nothing hints at a malfunctioning battery or
bad wiring, we expect that up ( s 2 ) broken be true and, hence, broken is
an indirect eect of closing
s 2 . Consequently, closing
s 1 afterwards should
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