Chemistry Reference
In-Depth Information
165
where Q
k
D
P
l¤k
x
l
as before. If R
k
Q
k
.t
C
1/
denotes the best response
function of firm k without intertemporal demand interaction, then R
k
Q
k
.t
C
1/
C
ˇ
S
S.t/
is the best response when it is taken into account. At time period t
C
1;
when firm k makes its decision on its production level, the simultaneous decisions
of the competitors are not known, so instead of the true output Q
k
.t
C
1/ of the rest
of the industry, firm k uses some expectation Q
k
.t
C
1/ of this value. If we assume
best reply dynamics with the adaptive expectations scheme (1.18), then the resulting
dynamical system becomes
0
0
@
X
l¤k
1
1
A
C
ˇ
S
S.t/
A
; 1
@
Q
k
.t/
C
˛
k
x
l
.t/
Q
k
.t/
x
k
.t
C
1/
D
R
k
k
N/
(4.23)
0
@
X
l
1
A
; 1
Q
k
.t
C
1/
D
Q
k
.t/
C
˛
k
x
l
.t/
Q
k
.t/
k
N/ (4.24)
¤
k
0
0
@
X
l¤k
1
1
X
N
@
Q
k
.t/
C
˛
k
x
l
.t/
Q
k
.t/
A
C
ˇ
S
S.t/
A
;
S.t
C
1/
D
ˇ
S
S.t/
C
R
k
kD1
(4.25)
where ˛
k
is a sign-preserving function for all k.
Clearly .x
1
;:::; x
N
; Q
1
;:::; Q
N
; S/ is a steady state of the dynamical system
(4.23)-(4.25) if and only if for all k,
D
X
l¤k
Q
k
x
l
;
(4.26)
D
R
k
. Q
k
S/;
x
k
C
ˇ
S
(4.27)
and
N
X
.1
ˇ/ S
D
1
x
k
:
(4.28)
k
D
Assume next continuous time scales. If we rewrite the discrete equation (4.21) as
X
N
S.t
C
1/
S.t/
D
x
k
.t
C
1/
.1
ˇ
S
/S.t/;
k D 1
we see that S.t/ in the continuous case is driven by the differential equation
N
X
S
D
x
k
S
S;
(4.29)
k
D
1
where
S
D
1
ˇ
S
>0. For the market saturation example this equation can also
be interpreted as expressing the fact that during each time period the value of S.t/
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