Chemistry Reference
In-Depth Information
165
where Q k D P l¤k x l as before. If R k Q k .t C 1/ denotes the best response
function of firm k without intertemporal demand interaction, then R k Q k .t C 1/
C ˇ S S.t/ is the best response when it is taken into account. At time period t C 1;
when firm k makes its decision on its production level, the simultaneous decisions
of the competitors are not known, so instead of the true output Q k .t C 1/ of the rest
of the industry, firm k uses some expectation Q k .t C 1/ of this value. If we assume
best reply dynamics with the adaptive expectations scheme (1.18), then the resulting
dynamical system becomes
0
0
@ X
l¤k
1
1
A C ˇ S S.t/
A ; 1
@ Q k .t/ C ˛ k
x l .t/ Q k .t/
x k .t C 1/ D R k
k N/
(4.23)
0
@ X
l
1
A ; 1
Q k .t C 1/ D Q k .t/ C ˛ k
x l .t/ Q k .t/
k N/ (4.24)
¤
k
0
0
@ X
l¤k
1
1
X
N
@ Q k .t/ C ˛ k
x l .t/ Q k .t/
A C ˇ S S.t/
A ;
S.t C 1/ D ˇ S S.t/ C
R k
kD1
(4.25)
where ˛ k is a sign-preserving function for all k.
Clearly .x 1 ;:::; x N ; Q 1 ;:::; Q N ; S/ is a steady state of the dynamical system
(4.23)-(4.25) if and only if for all k,
D X
l¤k
Q k
x l ;
(4.26)
D R k . Q k
S/;
x k
C ˇ S
(4.27)
and
N
X
.1 ˇ/ S D
1 x k :
(4.28)
k
D
Assume next continuous time scales. If we rewrite the discrete equation (4.21) as
X
N
S.t C 1/ S.t/ D
x k .t C 1/ .1 ˇ S /S.t/;
k D 1
we see that S.t/ in the continuous case is driven by the differential equation
N
X
S D
x k S S;
(4.29)
k
D
1
where S D 1 ˇ S >0. For the market saturation example this equation can also
be interpreted as expressing the fact that during each time period the value of S.t/
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