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that indicates if this particular risk is estimated as very important or not [9],
the unavailability of HBD ( I 0 −HBD ) and the number of hours of operation
( h DBC ).
4
Evaluation of the model and implementation on a
high-speed line
In this section, each previous sub-function is evaluated thanks to a proba-
bilistic approach. Then, this model is applied for a high speed line case.
4.1
Evaluation of sub-functions and activities
To perceive anomalies on crossed trains The estimated rate of non-de-
tection of a hot box ( RDH ) by the train driver of a cruiser train ( TCD )is
represented by equation 1.
RDH TDA
VIQ
RDH TCD =
(1)
×
TCQ
- Assuming an average train driver attention for his driving environment:
RDH TDA =
10 2 /h.
- Assuming that only 50% of cases detected by the driver of a train cruiser
are visual and 90 % of the information perceived visually in the process
of human perception is taken into account [10]. VIQ =
5
.
= 0,45.
- Assuming that the driver spends 10% of his time to monitor the train he
meets: TCQ = 0,1 (10 %).
0
,
9 × 0
,
5
The result of RDH TCD gives a number greater than 1. It is proposed to
neglect the effect of this activity in the model.
To detect problems on their own train The estimated rate of non-
detection of a hot axle box by the train driver is represented by equation
2.
RDH TDA
WSQ
RDH Driver =
(2)
×
TCQ
- Assuming an average train driver attention to his driving environment:
RDH TDA =
10 2 /h.
- The only supervised wagons of the trains are the locomotive or 20% of
train: WSQ = 1 or 0,2.
- Assuming that the driver spends 25% of his time to monitor the state of
its own train: TCQ = 0,25.
5
.
10 1 /
h and for the rest of the train: RDH Driver =1/h.Itisagain proposed to
neglect the effect of this activity in the model.
Results for this activity are: for the locomotive: RDH Driver =
2
.
 
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