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As discussed in Section 2.1.1, the distribution of w e is often unavailable and can
be estimated by a set of samples
{
x 1 ,···,
x m }
, where each sample x i >
0(1
i
m )
m
i = 1 Pr
takes a membership probability Pr
(
x i ) (
0
,
1
]
to appear. Moreover,
(
x i )=
1.
2.3.3.1 Paths and Weight Distribution
A simple path P is a sequence of non-repeated vertices
,...,
=
v 1
v n + 1
, where e i
(
n ). v 1 and v n + 1 are called the start vertex and
the end vertex of P , respectively. For the sake of simplicity, we call a simple path a
path in the rest of the paper. Given two vertices u and v , the complete set of paths
between u and v is denoted by
v i
,
)
v i + 1
is an edge in E (1
i
P u , v .
and P =
For paths P
=
v 1 ,...,
v n + 1
v i 0 ,
v i 0 + 1 ,...,
v i 0 + k
such that 1
i 0
k , P is called a super path of P and P is called a subpath of P .
Moreover, P
n
+
1
=
P 1 ,
P 2 ,...,
P m
if P 1 =
v 1 ,...,
v i 1
, P 2 =
v i 1 + 1 ,...,
v i 2
, ..., P m =
v i m 1 + 1 ,...,
v n + 1
,1
<
i 1 <
i 2 <···<
i m 1
n . P j (
1
j
m
)
is called a segment
of P .
The weight of path P
=
v 1 ,...,
v n + 1
is the sum of the weights of all edges in P ,
i
that is w P =
1 w e i , where w e i
is the weight of edge e i =(
v i ,
v i + 1 )
with probability
=
mass function f e i (
. Since each w e i is a discrete random variable, w P is also a
discrete random variable. A sample of P is x P =
x
)
n
i
1 x i , where x i (
1
i
n
)
is a
=
sample of edge e i =(
v i ,
v i + 1 )
. We also write x P =
x 1 ,...,
x n
where x 1 ,...,
x n are
called the components of x P .
The probability mass function of w P is
x 1 + ... + x n = x
f P (
x
)=
Pr
[
w P =
x
]=
Pr
[
w e 1 =
x 1 ,...,
w e n =
x n ]
(2.5)
In road networks, the travel time on a road segment e may be affected by the
travel time on other roads connecting with e . Therefore, the weights of adjacent
edges in E may be correlated. Among all edges in path P , the correlation between
the weights w e i
can be repre-
sented using different methods, depending on the types of correlations. To keep our
discussion general, in this paper we represent the correlations between w e i
and w e i + 1
of two adjacent edges e i and e i + 1
(
1
i
n
)
and w e i + 1
using the joint distribution over the sample pairs
(
x i ,
x i + 1 )
w e i ×
w e i + 1 . The joint
probability mass function 1 of w e i
and w e i + 1
is f e i , e i + 1 (
x i
,
x i + 1
)=
f e i + 1 , e i (
x i + 1
,
x i
)=
Pr
[
w e i =
x i ,
w e i + 1 =
x i + 1 ]
.
Correspondingly, the conditional probability of w e i
f e i , e i + 1 ( x i , x i + 1 )
f e i + 1 (
given w e i + 1
is f e i | e i + 1 (
x i |
x i + 1 )=
.
x i + 1 )
Theorem 2.1 (Path weight mass function). The probability mass function of a sim-
ple path P
=
v 1 ,...,
v n + 1
(e i =(
v i ,
v i + 1 )
for 1
i
n) is
1 The joint travel time distribution among connected roads can be obtained from roadside sensors.
The sensors report the speeds of vehicles passing the sensors. The speeds can be transformed into
travel time. A set of travel time values reported by sensors at the same time is a sample of the joint
travel time distribution.
 
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