Geography Reference
In-Depth Information
Table 4.3
Fraction (%) of positive and negative trends and their significance levels (*=95 % level, **=99% level) under the period 1901-2000
MAM
JJA
SON
DJF
1901-2000
pos
pos*
pos**
neg
neg*
neg**
pos
pos*
pos**
neg
neg*
neg**
pos
pos*
pos**
negneg*neg**
pos
pos*
pos**
negneg*neg**
MEANTN
84.2
61.4
45.6
15.8 .8
0.0
91.2
68.4
56.1 .8
3.5 .5
93.0
66.7
47.4 .0
0.0 .0
87.7
35.1
24.6
12.3 .0
0.0
MEANTX
91.2
50.9
36.8 .8
3.5 .8
87.7
56.1
33.3
12.3 .5
3.5
93.0
66.7
45.6 .0
3.5 .0
96.5
49.1
24.6 .5
0.0 .0
TN2P
78.9
22.8
10.5
21.1 .0
0.0
68.4
31.6
22.8
31.6 .0
5.3
77.2
24.6
14.0
22.8 .0
0.0
75.4
26.3
14.0
24.6 .8
0.0
TN98P
63.2
14.0 .5
36.8
12.3 .0
87.7
54.4
43.9
12.3 .0
0.0
80.7
36.8
17.5
19.3 .8
0.0
96.5
54.4
33.3 .5
0.0 .0
TX2P
93.0
26.3
15.8 .0
0.0 .0
70.2
24.6
19.3
29.8 .0
3.5
98.2
22.8 .0
1.8 .0
0.0
78.9
12.3 .3
21.1 .0
0.0
TX98P
54.4
15.8 .8
45.6 .0
3.5
84.2
40.4
29.8
15.8 .3
3.5
68.4
24.6
17.5
31.6 .0
3.5
94.7
80.7
52.6 .3
0.0 .0
TN2N
17.5 .5
1.8
82.5
38.6
26.3
26.3 .0
5.3
73.7
40.4
33.3
21.1 .8
0.0
78.9
42.1
35.1
31.6 .0
0.0
68.4 .8
7.0
TN98N
87.7
54.4
35.1
12.3 .8
0.0
94.7
54.4
36.8 .3
0.0 .0
86.0
52.6
31.6
14.0 .0
0.0
94.7
68.4
47.4 .3
0.0 .0
TX2N
8.8 .0
0.0
91.2
38.6
26.3
14.0 .5
1.8
86.0
38.6
31.6 .5
0.0 .0
96.5
49.1
36.8
24.6 .0
0.0
75.4
10.5
5.3
TX98N
86.0
43.9
31.6
14.0 .5
1.8
84.2
40.4
28.1
15.8 .5
3.5
82.5
35.1
21.1
17.5 .0
5.3
96.5
82.5
66.7 .5
0.0 .0
HWDI
84.2
22.8 .8
15.8 .0
0.0
73.7
21.1
10.5
26.3 .5
1.8
64.9 .3
1.8
28.1 .5
1.8
89.5
36.8
12.3 .3
0.0 .0
WSDI90
82.5
24.6 .8
17.5 .0
0.0
75.4
24.6
10.5
24.6 .5
3.5
73.7
14.0 .8
26.3 .5
1.8
96.5
49.1
17.5 .5
0.0 .0
CSDI10
19.3 .0
0.0
80.7
22.8 .0
28.1 .0
0.0
71.9
19.3
14.0
17.5 .0
0.0
82.5
35.1
17.5
29.8 .0
0.0
70.2 .0
1.8
MEANTG
98.1
61.1
44.4 .9
0.0 .0
98.1
70.4
55.6 .9
0.0 .0
98.1
75.9
63.0 .9
0.0 .0
92.6
38.9
33.3 .6
0.0 .0
TG2P
92.6
35.2
11.1 .4
0.0 .0
85.2
29.6
20.4
14.8 .9
1.9
96.3
20.4 .6
3.7 .0
0.0
77.8
24.1 .3
20.4 .0
0.0
TG98P
48.1 .4
7.4
51.9 .4
1.9
88.9
48.1
33.3
11.1 .9
0.0
72.2
22.2
11.1
27.8 .0
0.0
96.3
66.7
42.6 .9
0.0 .0
TG2N
3.7 .0
0.0
96.3
51.9
38.9 .3
1.9 .0
90.7
57.4
38.9 .7
0.0 .0
96.3
68.5
46.3
29.6 .0
0.0
68.5 .6
3.7
TG98N
90.7
44.4
35.2 .3
0.0 .0
92.6
59.3
35.2 .4
0.0 .0
92.6
40.7
24.1 .4
0.0 .0
98.1
83.3
64.8 .0
0.0 .0
PRECTOT
68.0
14.0 .0
32.0 .0
2.0
48.0 .0
4.0
52.0 .0
2.0
67.0
21.0
12.0
33.0 .0
0.0
78.0
27.0
10.0
22.0 .0
1.0
PREC98P
80.0 .0
1.0
20.0 .0
0.0
60.0 .0
5.0
40.0 .0
1.0
66.0
19.0 .0
34.0 .0
1.0
72.0
20.0 .0
28.0 .0
1.0
R98N
72.0
11.0 .0
28.0 .0
2.0
59.0
13.0 .0
41.0 .0
1.0
65.0
22.0
10.0
35.0 .0
0.0
77.0
18.0 .0
23.0 .0
1.0
R98T
75.0 .0
2.0
25.0 .0
0.0
67.0
14.0 .0
33.0 .0
0.0
68.0
18.0
10.0
32.0 .0
0.0
71.0
17.0 .0
29.0 .0
0.0
SDII98p
56.0 .0
3.0
44.0 .0
0.0
58.0
11.0 .0
42.0 .0
0.0
66.0
12.0 .0
34.0 .0
0.0
66.0
19.0 .0
34.0 .0
0.0
SDII
77.0
19.0 .0
23.0 .0
0.0
63.0
14.0 .0
37.0 .0
2.0
66.0
24.0
15.0
34.0 .0
1.0
77.0
38.0
22.0
23.0 .0
1.0
R5d
70.0
10.0 .0
30.0 .0
0.0
67.0
11.0 .0
33.0 .0
1.0
67.0
20.0 .0
33.0 .0
1.0
79.0
20.0
10.0
21.0 .0
1.0
R1d
65.0
11.0 .0
35.0 .0
0.0
59.0 .0
5.0
41.0 .0
0.0
67.0
13.0 .0
33.0 .0
0.0
73.0
21.0 .0
27.0 .0
0.0
CDD
58.0 .0
0.0
42.0 .0
0.0
71.0 .0
1.0
29.0 .0
1.0
57.0 .0
0.0
43.0 .0
0.0
48.0 .0
0.0
52.0 .0
0.0
Table 4.4
Regional (Northern, Central and Southern Europe) averaged trends for all the indices under period 1901-2000. (trend significance
*=95% level, **=99% level). Red/blue/brown/green colours indicate changes towards warmer/colder/drier/wetter conditions
MAM
JJA
SON
DJF
unit
100 yr
-1
NEU
CEU
SEU
NEU
CEU
SEU
NEU
CEU
SEU
NEU
CEU
SEU
MEANTN
[°C]
1.09
**
0.85
**
0.46
*
0.70
**
0.92
**
0.75
**
1.11
**
1.04
**
0.60
**
0.48
1.19
*
0.99
**
MEANTX
0.94
**
0.65
1.63
**
0.85
*
0.59
1.63
**
0.85
**
1.00
**
1.66
**
0.48
1.11
*
1.41
**
[°C]
TN2P
[°C]
1.50
1.26
0.83
0.60
0.24
0.76
*
1.12
0.92
0.68
0.12
1.53
1.36
*
TN98P
0.23
0.02
0.19
0.75
*
1.17
**
0.62
**
0.84
**
0.71
*
0.17
0.98
**
1.46
**
0.75
*
[°C]
TX2P
1.61
*
0.89
1.66
**
0.93
**
-0.08
1.65
**
1.13
0.90
1.45
**
0.34
1.03
1.22
*
[°C]
TX98P
0.40
-0.33
0.86
0.96
0.98
*
1.62
**
0.22
0.11
1.57
**
1.20
**
1.94
**
1.87
**
[°C]
TN2N
[d]
-2.01
**
-2.05
**
-1.82
**
-1.50
**
-2.09
**
-2.52
**
-2.11
**
-2.70
**
-1.48
**
-0.07
-1.28
-1.64
*
TN98N
1.83
**
1.57
**
1.30
*
1.71
**
2.44
**
1.81
**
1.76
**
1.12
**
1.09
*
2.46
**
2.03
**
1.48
**
[d]
TX2N
-2.08
**
-0.96
*
-2.89
**
-2.48
**
-0.52
-2.87
**
-2.96
**
-2.03
*
-2.39
**
-0.21
-0.77
-1.97
**
[d]
TX98N
[d]
1.13
0.75
2.44
**
1.54
*
0.64
2.93
**
0.92
0.29
1.90
**
2.58
**
2.69
**
2.50
**
HWDI
0.94
2.21
*
2.94
*
1.32
0.31
1.51
**
0.12
-0.14
1.17
*
2.40
*
3.49
**
1.02
**
[d]
WSDI90
1.34
1.33
3.13
**
1.14
0.24
2.72
**
0.58
0.00
1.80
**
2.59
**
2.64
**
1.75
**
[d]
CSDI10
-1.29
-2.05
**
-0.75
-1.87
**
-1.20
**
-1.58
**
-2.10
**
-2.68
**
-1.05
*
-0.11
-1.97
-1.71
[d]
0.85
*
0.82
*
1.04
**
0.73
*
0.96
**
1.19
**
0.97
**
1.15
**
1.11
**
0.33
1.16
*
1.25
**
MEANTG
[°C]
1.52
1.21
1.36
**
0.89
**
0.40
1.25
**
1.29
0.97
1.13
*
-0.13
1.27
1.55
**
TG2P
[°C]
0.04
-0.27
0.51
0.81
1.15
**
1.17
**
0.51
0.44
0.85
*
1.05
**
1.52
**
1.29
**
TG98P
[°C]
TG2N
[d]
-2.18
*
-1.85
**
-2.50
**
-2.47
**
-1.59
**
-2.23
**
-3.38
**
-3.24
**
-1.71
**
0.17
-0.82
-1.94
*
1.66
*
1.51
*
2.35
**
1.91
*
2.15
**
3.14
**
1.35
*
1.02
*
1.97
**
2.73
**
2.48
**
2.39
**
TG98N
[d]
15.15
23.99
-5.92
-2.23
2.14
1.89
47.21
**
16.61
-14.98
28.14
*
34.99
*
14.90
PRECTOT
[mm]
1.07
2.22
*
0.09
0.06
1.49
0.11
2.49
**
2.08
*
-2.32
1.69
*
2.64
**
1.50
PREC98P
[mm]
R98N
[d]
0.40
0.40
0.02
0.07
0.19
0.23
0.77
**
0.37
-0.07
0.60
*
0.53
*
0.42
*
2.80
3.27
*
2.66
0.79
3.69
**
5.67
4.28
**
3.67
**
0.20
4.34
**
3.99
*
5.47
**
R98T
[%]
1.20
2.28
0.20
-0.31
4.34
**
0.28
3.13
**
3.81
**
-1.08
2.60
**
3.88
**
2.64
SDII98p
[mm]
0.32
**
0.69
**
0.01
0.09
0.52
**
-0.22
0.57
**
0.63
**
0.07
0.49
**
0.94
**
0.39
SDII
[mm]
R5d
[mm]
3.68
*
5.35
*
-0.37
0.91
6.80
*
-0.15
7.44
**
4.03
1.52
5.55
**
9.04
**
4.57
1.77
*
3.34
**
0.72
0.26
4.02
**
-0.64
2.72
*
3.26
*
0.50
2.60
**
3.52
*
2.07
R1d
[mm]
0.55
0.25
1.65
1.05
0.89
-1.19
-0.75
0.97
2.43
-0.09
0.28
-0.63
CDD
[d]
varies, which makes the representativeness of the regional
means different. This should be kept in mind when evaluat-
ing the results. The trends of the temperature and precipita-
tion indices are listed in Table
4.4
.
For temperature-based indices, there is a clear and sig-
nificant signal of warming in all seasons and regions with
only three exceptions for CEU in spring (TX98P), summer
(TX2P) and autumn (HWDI). However, these cooling trends
Search WWH ::
Custom Search