Database Reference
In-Depth Information
INFLOWS:
Bird Infection
=
if time
>
0 then Bird Suceptible*Bird Infection Rate else 0
Inf Migra In
=
DELAY(Inf Migra Out,183)
OUTFLOWS:
Bird Disease Death
=
if time
>
0 then Bird Infected*0.002 else 0
Inf Migra Out
=
If Year 2=Year 2 then if Julian Date
=
Fall then Bird Infected
* Percent Migration else 0 else 0
Bird Suceptible(t)
=
Bird Suceptible(t
−
dt)
+
(Bird Reprod
+
Migration In
−
Bird Infection
−
Regular Death
−
Migration out) * dt
INIT Bird Suceptible
=
100
INFLOWS:
Bird Reprod
=
If Julian Date
>
0 then IF Julian Date
=
(Spring
+
1)then3*
(Bird Infected
+
Bird Suceptible) else 0 else 0
Migration In
=
DELAY(Migration out,183)
OUTFLOWS:
Bird Infection
=
if time
>
0 then Bird Suceptible*Bird Infection Rate else 0
Regular Death
=
If time
>
0 then Bird Suceptible*0.001 else 0
Migration out
=
If Year 2=Year 2 then if Julian Date 2
=
Fall 2 then
Bird Suceptible * Percent Migration else 0 else 0
Fall 2
=
264
{
Fall Equinox - Sept 21st
}
Julian Date 2
=
if time
<
0 then 0 else MOD(TIME,365)
Percent Migration
=
.75
Year 2
=
INT(TIME/365)
+
1
Calculate Infection
BIRate Fudge
1/(10ˆ7)
Bird Infection Rate
=
=
Bird Suceptible * Bird Infected * Mosq3 Adults *
BIRate Fudge
HIRate Fudge
1/(10ˆ13)
Human Infection Rate
=
=
Total Susceptible * Mosq3 Adults * Bird Infected *
HIRate Fudge
Human Population
Disease Deaths[Dim Name 1 1](t)
=
Disease Deaths[Dim Name 1 1](t
−
dt)
+
(Dying[Dim Name 1 1]
New Year[Dim Name 1 1]) * dt
INIT Disease Deaths[Dim Name 1 1]
−
=
0
INFLOWS:
Dying[Age 0 to 4]
=
Infected[Age 0 to 4]*Mortality Rates[Age 0 to 4]/365
Dying[Age 5 to 9]
=
Infected[Age 5 to 9]*Mortality Rates[Age 5 to 9]/365
Dying[Age 10 to 14]
=
Infected[Age 10 to 14]*Mortality Rates[Age 10 to 14]/365
Dying[Age 15 to 24]
=
Infected[Age 15 to 24]*Mortality Rates[Age 15 to 24]/365
Dying[Age 25 to 34]
=
Infected[Age 25 to 34]*Mortality Rates[Age 25 to 34]/365
