Database Reference
In-Depth Information
INFECTED POP:
1 -
2 -
3 -
1:
30000000
1
1:
15000000
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1:
0
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
Time
Untitled
Fig. 4.7
INFECTED POP:
1 -
2 -
3 -
1:
30000000
1
1:
15000000
2
3
2
3
2
3
3
1
1
1
2
1:
0
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
Time
Fig. 4.8
and indicate, as expected, a more prolonged persistence of malaria (a larger infected
population) in the long run, when controls are low. Similarly, more extensive use of
repellents reduces human exposure and thus the size of the infected population. This
is shown in Figure 4.7, where HBI = 0.0005, Vector Control = 1.0, and the variable
Repellents increases from 10 to 30, and finally to 50 for the last run.
The last set of model runs assume Repellents = 10, Vector Control = 1.0 and HBI
increases from run to run by an order of magnitude, starting with 0.0005 and ending
with 0.05. The results are shown in Figure 4.8. Higher HBI yield, in the long run,
larger infected populations.
