Database Reference
In-Depth Information
SEROPREVALENCE:
1 -
2 -
3 -
0.90
1:
2
1
1
2
3
3
0.45
1:
2
3
1
1
2
3
1:
0.00
0.00
91.25
182.50
273.75
365.00
Days
Fig. 12.15
TOTAL ADULT MOSQ:
1 -
2 -
3 -
1:
25000.00
2
2
15000.00
1:
1
1
1
3
2
3
1
3
3
2
5000.00
1:
0.00
91.25
182.50
273.75
365.00
Days
Fig. 12.16
the season (Figure 12.15, Line 2). This occurs because of the earlier onset of expo-
nential growth for the mosquito population (Figure 12.16, Line 2) resulting in high
mosquito numbers during the peak time of disease transmission.
The ecology of vector-borne, multi-host diseases like WNV poses a true chal-
lenge for modelers to balance model transparency and simplicity with the many lay-
ers of interaction that contribute to disease persistence and transmission. But these
efforts have great potential to help public health officials, researchers, and policy
makers better manage current disease concerns and prepare for the next emerg-
ing pathogen. The models presented here, as is often the case, are but a rudimen-
tary attempt to simulate the dynamics of vastly more complicated disease ecology.
