Environmental Engineering Reference
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We notice that this bistable behavior does not emerge in the deterministic coun-
terpart of the system. In fact, as noted, the deterministic harvest process [Eq. (
4.10
)]
has only one stable state. We can obtain the equilibrium points
A
∗
of the underlying
deterministic dynamics from (
4.9
), eliminating the random fluctuations by replacing
the noise term with its average value,
. Thus the equilibria
A
∗
are given by the roots
λα
of
aA
∗
(1
−
A
∗
)
−
λα
A
∗
=
0
.
(4.13)
The solution of (
4.13
) leads to
A
∗
=
0 (unstable state) and
A
∗
=
1
−
λα/
a
(stable
state). Thus, for a given value of
α
, the stable state of the system increases from 0
to 1 as
to 0, consistent with the behavior of the modes of
the stochastic dynamics through zones III, II, and I of Fig.
4.9
.For
λ/
a
decreases from 1
/α
the
fire-induced disturbances are too frequent and intense to allow the process to leave the
state
A
λ/
a
>
1
/α
0, which is stable both in the deterministic and in the stochastic (zone V in
Fig.
4.9
; see caption) dynamics. Thus the behaviors found in zones I, II, III, and V exist
also in the deterministic system and these transitions are not noise induced. However,
the bimodal behavior in zone IV is completely noise induced. In fact, because
f
(
A
)is
a quadratic function, the deterministic system is not bistable. For the bounds to induce
bistability, an unstable deterministic state should exist between 0 and 1, as in the case
of the bounded Takacs process (
Porporato and D'Odorico
,
2004
). In the present case,
such a state does not exist. Thus we conclude that multiplicative noise is able to create
new states that did not exist in the underlying deterministic dynamics.
Within a certain portion of the parameter space, the dynamics become bimodal, i.e.,
they exhibit two preferential states, whereas the deterministic system [i.e., Eq. (
4.10
)]
has only one stable state. The emergence of bimodality indicates that, in this part
of the parameter space (zone IV), conditions favorable to tree-grass coexistence are
unstable, whereas woodland and grassland are alternative statistically stable states of
the system (
D'Odorico et al.
,
2006b
). The emergence of this noise-induced bistability
causes a discontinuous response of the system to changes in parameter values, as
shown by the existence of threshold effects and hysteresis in the bifurcation diagram
in Fig.
4.10
. Subsection
4.3.2
shows how feedbacks between fires and vegetation may
enhance this noise-induced behavior.
=
4.3.2 Poisson harvest process with state-dependent harvest rate
In Subsection
4.3.1
we investigated the properties of a stochastic harvest model in
relation to the case of fire-vegetation dynamics in mesic savannas. Here we show
how a state-dependent rate
λ
(
A
) of the Poisson process may induce other interesting
noise-induced behaviors in the dynamics. The dependence of the probability of fire
occurrence
λ
on
A
has been well documented (e.g.,
van Wilgen et al.
,
2003
)and
is due to the fact that in savannas the fuel load is contributed by grass biomass.
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