Agriculture Reference
In-Depth Information
Table A8.6 Implied Chinese self-sufficiency rates, past and projected,
1997 2001 and 2010 (per cent)
a
Merchandise sector
b
1997
2001
2010
Rce
100
100
100
Beverages
98
100
91
Other crops (incl. feed grains)
95
94
89
Lvestock
99
99
95
Processed food
92
88
83
Fish
99
99
99
Minerals
95
95
94
Energy
80
80
80
Light manufacturing
123
123
123
Heavy manufacturing
95
95
95
Notes:
a
Self-sufficiency rates are calculated from values of domestic output,
Y
, imports,
M
, and exports,
X
, evaluated at domestic producer prices, from the formula:
SSR=Y/
(Y+M-X)
.
b
The services sectors are represented in the model, as indicated in Table A8.1. Since
trade in these is relatively costly, self-sufficiency rates are near unity. They are, in any
case, not the focus of this analysis and so they are omitted from this table.
Sources:
The orgnal 1997 numbers are aggregated from the 57 commodty categores n
the GTAP Version 5 global database, published in 2000. Those for 2001 are based on short
run projections from 1997, as conducted by Rees and Tyers (Chapter 9, this volume). For
2010, rates are from the reference simulation discussed in the text.
