Agriculture Reference
In-Depth Information
Table 6.4
Impact on output, exports and imports of WTO tariff cuts
wth agrcultural protecton
Sector
a
No control on trade balance
No change n trade balance
Eastern
Central
Western Natonal Eastern
Central
Western Natonal
Output
Agri
-
-0.06
-0.05
-0.03
-0.05
-0.09
-0.07
-0.07
Mine
-1.49
1.24
2.78
0.12
-1.62
1.37
2.91
0.12
Fprc
-5.33
-1.80
-5.41
-4.24
-5.42
-1.87
-5.55
-4.33
Lind
7.35
-0.22
1.34
5.47
7.43
-0.08
1.81
5.59
Chem.
-1.92
-0.95
-0.75
-1.57
-1.94
-0.91
-0.69
-1.56
Motr
-17.62 -14.71
-11.12
-16.10
-17.76
-14.48
-10.76
-16.09
Mche
-3.61
-0.90
0.49
-2.56
-3.66
-0.73
0.65
-2.54
Elen
6.43
-0.79
3.49
5.61
6.44
-0.71
3.73
5.65
Cnst
0.44
1.04
1.16
0.69
0.42
1.06
1.17
0.69
Svce
0.75
-0.13
0.14
0.48
0.80
-0.21
0.08
0.48
Exports
Agri
11.45
10.88
12.57
11.39
13.88
13.11
14.6
13.72
Mine
2.63
8.55
10.06
5.48
2.69
9.05
10.48
5.73
Fprc
5.25
7.75
5.08
5.86
6.38
8.92
5.86
6.95
Lind
20.99
8.12
14.57
19.14
21.53
8.98
16.6
19.79
Chem.
5.25
6.29
6.89
5.50
5.47
6.71
7.33
5.76
Motr
-9.64
-4.95
1.71
-7.17
-9.70
-4.42
2.36
-7.04
Mche
1.92
6.32
8.21
3.29
2.01
6.83
8.65
3.48
Elen
16.33
6.14
13.8
15.72
16.55
6.53
14.39
15.97
Cnst
2.85
5.50
5.67
3.35
2.88
5.73
5.85
3.41
Svce
3.05
4.29
5.17
3.54
3.08
4.47
5.33
3.62
Imports
Agri
15.25
11.36
20.17
15.21
13.08
9.42
18.43
13.11
Mine
-4.86
-5.37
-4.76
-4.93
-5.07
-5.52
-4.88
-5.12
Fprc
161.79 177.93
162.41
163.94
158.03
174.18
159.65 160.40
Lind
22.54
11.45
5.62
19.15
22.06
10.49
4.78
18.56
Chem. 22.27
19.05
20.63
21.57
22.05
18.71
20.30
21.32
Motr
109.31 106.26
86.76
104.61
108.68
105.28
86.20 103.90
Mche
12.11
12.86
12.06
12.22
11.92
12.58
11.86
12.01
Elen
6.33
3.31
3.88
5.57
6.07
2.93
3.60
5.28
Cnst
-2.64
-4.44
-4.45
-3.60
-2.72
-4.66
-4.62
-3.73
Svce
-2.54
-5.21
-5.45
-3.77
-2.64
-5.56
-5.76
-3.98
Note:
a
sector code: agr: agrculture; mne: mnng; fprc: food processng; lnd: lght
ndustry; chem: chemcals; motr: motor vehcle and other transportaton equpment;
mche: machnery and equpment; elen: electroncs and electrc equpment; cnst:
constructon; svce: servces.
Source: Author's CERD smulaton.
