Agriculture Reference
In-Depth Information
The sze of the domestc gran market
To assess the mpact of the 22 mllon tonnes gran mport quota on the
domestc gran market we need to calculate the sze of the domestc market.
Total grain output was between 435 and 512 million tonnes (unprocessed
grain) during the 1990s (462 million tonnes in 2000). However, the domestic
market s far smaller than the total output because a substantal part of
the gran output s consumed by farmers and does not enter the market.
In the 1990s, the state quota and above-quota purchases of grain were
around 180 to 200 million tonnes per year (possibly higher in 1998-99);
however, there are no statistics on the quantity of grain sold in the free
market. The sze of Chna's domestc gran market (gran traded both by
the state dealers and n the free market) may be approxmated from a
calculaton of the volume of non-market gran consumed by farmers n
2000 (Tables 5.6 and 5.7).
In Table 5.6, the estimated volume of non-traded grain (self-consumption)
s shown as 255 mllon tonnes for the year 2000. The volume of traded
Table 5.7
The estmated sze of the domestc gran market n 2000
(mllon tonnes)
Unprocessed weght
Trade weght
Total producton
462
400
Non-traded consumpton
255
221
Change n stocks
-20
-17
Net exports
12
10
Domestically traded
215
186
Total domestc demand
470
407
Tarff quota (2004 and later)
22.2
TQ as per cent of traded grain
11.9 per cent
TQ as per cent of total demand
5.5 per cent
Note:
Trade weghts are derved from the unprocessed weght. Rce s converted from
paddy at a conversion ratio of 0.68; other grains are unprocessed. The change in grain
stock s assumed.
Source:
Calculated from Table 5.6 and National Bureau of Statistics, 2001.
Statistical
Yearbook of China
, China Statistics Press, Beijing.
