Civil Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
1
T N
= 0.8 s,
a t n
= ln (1.25)
0.8
T N
= 0.9 s,
a t n
= ln (1.50)
0.6
T N = 1.0 s,
a t n
= ln (1.75)
0.4
0.2
CDF of D d (
x
, S a ,
)
Q
CDF of ( Y t + a t )
n
n
0
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
y
16.6 Comparison of CDFs of D d ( x , S a ,
Θ
) and ( Y t n
+
α t n ).
variable to satisfy the additive form in Eq. (16.6). From the relation between
α t n and T
s
t n
N / T N , and recalling that
α 0
=
0, we can write
Δ α
=
ln[1
+
1.75( T
N /
T N
1)]. From the data in Fig. 16.5, we compute Ŷ t n
=
ln(100
Δ D / H )/ C 0 and
s
t n / C 0 . Now, we develop a regression model
Z t n
( Ŷ t n ).
Linear regression analysis with the following model form is performed to
develop the model:
=
Δ α
ζ
( y ) such that Z t n
=
ζ
() ++
θ
ln
y
θ
σ
ε
y
y
>
0
Z
δ
1
Z
δ
2
Z
δ
δ
Z
[
()
] =
ln
ζ
y
0
[16.27]
0
where
θ z d1 ,
θ z d2 and
θ z d are the model parameters and
ε z d is a standard normal
random variable. The values of
1.477
and 0.345 respectively. Figure 16.7 shows the plot of predicted versus
observed values of ln( Z t n ) for the developed regression model. Next, we
need to develop models for F z ( z ) and F ˆ | Z ( y | Z t n ). The CDF F z ( z )
θ
z d1 ,
θ
z d2 and
θ
z d are found to be 1.332,
=
P [
ζ
( Ŷ t n )
z ] and the conditional CDF F ˆ | Z ( y | Z t n ) is computed as follows:
(
)
ˆ
PY
<
yZ
=
0
z
=≤
=>
0
,
,
y
0
t
t
n
n
1
z
0
y
0
(
) =
FyZ
[16.28]
ˆ
t
((
)
YZ
n
ˆ
PY
<
yZ
=
zZ
,
>
0
z
,
otherwise
>>
0
y
0
t
t
t
n
n
n
0
Search WWH ::




Custom Search