Environmental Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
Figure 6.
Predicted future plague distributions. Models were developed using data derived from
three different global climate models (CCCma, HadCM3, and CSIRO), for two time steps and two
emissions scenarios. (a) 2020, A2 scenario, (b) 2020, B2 scenario, (c) 2050, A2 scenario, and (d)
2050, B2 scenario.
DISCUSSION
Climate variables, such as temperature, precipitation, and humidity, can play impor-
tant roles in vector-borne disease transmission by affecting vector and pathogen de-
velopment, and by influencing the distribution of disease hosts and habitats [11, 52].
The biologically meaningful variables that were used in the final models we developed
included two temperature variables (Maximum Temperature of Warmest Month,
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