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Preliminaries
The most fundamental and generally accepted principle is that of Constant
Exchangeability, Ex ,whichsaysthatif ʸ ( a 1 ,...,a m ) is a sentence of L and
a 1 ,...,a m is any other choice of distinct constant symbols from amongst the
a 1 ,a 2 ,... then ʸ ( a 1 ,...,a m )and ʸ ( a 1 ,...,a m ) should have the same probabil-
ity. We shall assume Ex. We will also need the Principle of Regularity, Reg ,which
requires any consistent quantifier free sentence of L to have non-zero probability.
For the purpose of this article we will restrict our attention to languages
with finitely many unary predicate symbols R 1 ,...,R p , finitely many binary
relation symbols Q 1 ,...,Q q and no relation symbols of higher arities. Sentences
ʘ ( a 1 ,...,a m )oftheform
m
p
q
i =1 ±
i =1 ±
R i ( a j )
Q i ( a j ,a l )
(1)
j =1
j,l
∈{
1 ,...,m
} 2
where
Q i ( a j ,a l ),
are called state descriptions for a 1 ,...,a m . Note that state descriptions for
a 1 ,...,a m are mutually exclusive and exhaustive (their disjunction is a tau-
tology).
Any probability function w is uniquely determined by its values on state
descriptions and in many situations it suces to think of probability func-
tions as functions defined on state descriptions and such that probabilities of
state descriptions for a 1 ,...,a m sum to 1, and probabilities of state descriptions
for a 1 ,...,a m +1 which extend a given state description ʘ ( a 1 ,...,a m )sumto
w ( ʘ ( a 1 ,...,a m )), see [5]. We shall use this in the present paper.
In the unary context, that is, when q = 0 and the language consists merely of
the unary predicates R 1 ,...,R p , a state description for a 1 ,...,a m is any sentence
±
R i ( a j ) denotes one of R i ( a j ),
¬
R i ( a j ) and similarly for
±
j =1 i =1 ±
R i ( a j ). The formulae i =1 ±
R i ( x ) are called atoms and denoted
ʱ 1 ( x ) ,...,ʱ 2 p ( x ). Unary state descriptions are usually written as j =1 ʱ h j ( a j ),
where h j ∈{
1 ,..., 2 p
.
Johnson's Su cientness Postulate, JSP. w ʱ i ( a m +1 )
}
| j =1 ʱ h j ( a j ) de-
pends only on m and m i ,wherem i is the number of times that i appears amongst
the h j .
The classical result discussed in the Introduction tells us that as long as the
language has at least two predicates ( p
2), the only probability functions
satisfying Reg, Ex and JSP are the Carnap's c ʻ functions (0
≤∞
) defined
as follows 2
= m i + ʻ 2 −p
m + ʻ
m
ʱ i ( a m +1 )
c ʻ
|
ʱ h j ( a j )
j =1
where m i is as above.
2 Note that the definition does yield the values of c ʻ on all state descriptions and gives
a probability function.
 
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